Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.022841 0.024541 0.026311 0.028295 0.030458 0.032748 0.035359
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.019851 0.022274 0.024930 0.028066 0.031680 0.035726 0.040619
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.018018 0.020883 0.024146 0.028158 0.032983 0.038630 0.045788
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.016416 0.019518 0.023161 0.027786 0.033544 0.040534 0.049746
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.015050 0.018277 0.022165 0.027236 0.033738 0.041880 0.052984
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.014047 0.017382 0.021490 0.026980 0.034208 0.043519 0.056619
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.013183 0.016586 0.020863 0.026704 0.034582 0.044996 0.060074
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.012303 0.015706 0.020059 0.026119 0.034468 0.045763 0.062547
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.011848 0.015348 0.019904 0.026371 0.035476 0.048091 0.067343
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.011334 0.014875 0.019560 0.026327 0.036047 0.049808 0.071338
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.010993 0.014614 0.019481 0.026635 0.037114 0.052277 0.076602
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.010494 0.014108 0.019032 0.026380 0.037332 0.053490 0.079994
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.010074 0.013696 0.018699 0.026281 0.037782 0.055086 0.084130
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.009606 0.013194 0.018212 0.025926 0.037818 0.056042 0.087290
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.009295 0.012901 0.018010 0.025979 0.038473 0.057987 0.092207
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.008893 0.012457 0.017565 0.025634 0.038477 0.058880 0.095390
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.008476 0.011973 0.017037 0.025133 0.038196 0.059280 0.097726
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.008158 0.011623 0.016694 0.024899 0.038329 0.060358 0.101321
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.007857 0.011285 0.016353 0.024649 0.038413 0.061349 0.104814
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.007503 0.010853 0.015851 0.024116 0.037994 0.061444 0.106641
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.007355 0.010732 0.015822 0.024345 0.038868 0.063828 0.112948
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.007152 0.010516 0.015637 0.024306 0.039274 0.065401 0.117804
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.007033 0.010426 0.015644 0.024586 0.040245 0.068041 0.124957